At 5pm Monday, Dorian was located about 105 miles east of West Palm Beach, and sitting stationary over the Island of Grand Bahama. Complete storm surge inundation continues for most of that island, along with max sustained winds of up to 145 mph.

A motion to the north-northwest will begin tonight into tomorrow morning. Confidence continues to increase that the center of the storm will stay off of Florida’s east coast. However, that does not mean there won’t be impacts. Hurricane-force wind gusts will still be possible along the coast, especially north of the Treasure Coast, even if the storm stays 50 miles offshore.

In addition, several feet of storm surge will be likely in many areas Tuesday afternoon through the day on Wednesday as strong onshore flow pushes water onshore as the storm passes.

Dorian will no longer be a problem for Florida by Thursday. However, folks along the coast of Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina need to be monitoring the progress of the storm very closely the rest of the week, as significant impacts will be possible if it hugs the coast. Dorian will be safely out to sea by the weekend.