Watching for Possible Development in the Western Caribbean

Tropical Storm Leslie is still moving very slow in the central Atlantic with no direct impacts to land. We are now watching an area in the Caribbean for possible development later this week.

A broad area of low pressure is generating disorganized showers and storms. It has a 20% of development over the next 5 days as it moves into the western Caribbean. It it too early to tell if it will affect our area, but we will be monitoring it closely.

October is the time of year where our focus shifts from the Atlantic to the Caribbean sea for tropical development.

Tropical Storm Leslie has changed little over the past several hours. It still has a ragged eye feature with deep convection focused in a curved band wrapped from northeast to southwest of the storm. Slow movement to the southwest continues and it will likely reach hurricane status by tonight or Wednesday. By Thursday, Leslie will turn back to the north over cooler water and into drier air, steady weakening is forecast as it turns east into the weekend.

The main impact to land areas from Leslie continues to be the large swells along the East Coast, Bermuda, Bahamas, Greater and Lesser Antilles. Towards the end of the week, swells will begin to increase near the New England and Atlantic Canadian coastlines.

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