The second month of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season winds down. On Saturday, dry African Saharan air keeps convection limited with a few tropical waves in the Atlantic and Caribbean. Saharan air outbreaks are very common in July. No tropical cyclone development is expected for at least the next 5 days.

As we shift to August and September all eyes are on the Main Development Region between the Caribbean and Africa. Water temperatures run 1-1.5 C above average. This could aid in a more active period as we approach the peak of the season (September 10th). Most computer models keep the Atlantic basin quiet for the next week. On average, the first hurricane in Atlantic forms on August 10th, therefore, it’s pretty common for July to wrap up on a quiet note.