Tracking a new disturbance entering the Bay of Campeche

We are monitoring a cluster of thunderstorms in the northwestern Caribbean Sea that, after crossing the Yucatan Peninsula, will have a chance of development in the Bay of Campeche. The NHC is giving the disturbance a low (20%) chance of formation within the next week. Chances will likely rise if the system remains over water.

Most weather models that do develop this, keep it moving west towards Mexico. Early indications suggest that this is unlikely to bring any impacts to Florida.

The next name on our 2025 Atlantic storm naming list would be Barry.

Tracking Invest 90L in the Central Atlantic

We are keeping tabs on a cluster of showers and storms in the Central Atlantic that show some signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure.

For now, the National Hurricane Center is giving this disturbance (Invest 90L) a medium 40% chance of development.

If Invest 90L were to become a named storm, it would take the name “Andrea.”

The system will likely encounter an unfavorable environment for development on Tuesday, making the next 24 hours its best window to organize. This not a threat to the United States and will move east and likely remain at sea if it develops.