Imelda organizing over the Bahamas; Humberto weakening

Imelda and Humberto are currently the only active named storms in the Atlantic.

Tropical Storm Imelda is still expected to strengthen into a hurricane by early next week.

Weather models indicate with high confidence that it will stay well off the east coast of our state. As a result, tropical storm watches for Florida’s east coast were dropped this evening. Tropical storm warnings still remain in effect for parts of the Bahamas.

Rip currents and dangerous boating conditions are expected across the coasts of Florida, Georgia, and North/South Carolina.

The majority of the damaging winds and excessive rainfall from Imelda should remain off the shoreline.

Major Hurricane Humberto poses no threat to the United States, but has prompted a tropical storm watch for Bermuda. The hurricane should slowly weaken over the next few days. The latest forecast for Humberto has it becoming a post-tropical system by the middle of next week.

Tropical Storm Watch for the east coast of Florida

Tropical Depression Nine is just shy of becoming the next named storm of the season as it moves over the Bahamas.

This is expected to become Tropical Storm Imelda later on Sunday and a Category 1 hurricane Monday or Tuesday as it passes off Florida’s east coast.

The Watch runs from the Palm Beach/Martin County Line to Flagler/Volusia County Line, where fringe effects from the storm will be possible starting on Monday. Tropical Storm Warning is up for the Bahamas.

Space Coast areas could feel tropical-storm-force wind gusts, in the 40-50 mph range, but the storm stays offshore and impacts aren’t expected inland. Rough beach and boating conditions will be in place for several days on the east coast of Florida.

The latest trend is good news for the Carolinas and coastal Georgia. These areas are no longer included in the forecast cone and there is high confidence Imelda stays offshore before turning east and going out to sea.

This brings rain totals down significantly with a general 2-4″ and locally high rainfall totals up to 7″ near the coast through Wednesday morning.

Part of what is helping to steer future Imelda out to sea is Hurricane Humberto, which is altering the steering currents and helping to tug the storm east.

Humberto is still a powerful Category 4 hurricane and will pass west of Bermuda Tuesday – Wednesday.