Hurricane Melissa heading towards landfall in Jamaica Tuesday

Recon data today has found that Melissa is one of the strongest storms on record in the Atlantic basin. In fact, the storm is so violent, a NOAA hurricane hunter mission was cut short due to extreme turbulence in the eye wall.

The projected track is just awful. A Category 5 hurricane making landfall in Jamaica late Monday night or Tuesday morning.
There is a long history of hurricanes making landfall in Jamaica, the most notable was Hurricane Gilbert. It made landfall near Kingston in 1988 as a Category 4 hurricane. Before Sandy made its trip up the east coast of the United States in 2012. it first went over Jamaica as a Category 1 hurricane. Jamaica’s mountainous terrain makes the threat of mudslides and landslides from Melissa much worse. Entire communities will become isolated with no power or communication. Unfortunately, Melissa will probably go down as the worst storm to hit the island in modern times. Praying for the good people of Jamaica.

Break from tropical activity as remnants of Beryl head towards Ohio valley

Clean up and power restoration in Texas will be the story for the next few days as what is left of Beryl head up the Mississippi valley. As bad as Beryl was, it could have been a lot worse. The storm did not really start intensifying until it was on the Texas coast. If the intensification process started sooner, then the impacts to Texas would have been even more significant. July is typically one of the quieter months of the hurricane season, and it looks like we will have an extended break from any tropical development as a plume of Saharan dust moves across the tropical Atlantic. Tropics usually become much more active by mid to late August.